On the evening of April 25, director of Department of infection, Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University, Shanghai @ < a target = "_ blank" href=" https://news.163.com/news/search?keyword=%E5%BC%A0%E6%96%87%E5%AE%8F "> Dr. Zhang Wenhong < / a > posted an article on microblog to talk about the present < a target ="_ blank" href=" https://news.163.com/news/search?keyword=%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6 "> India < / a > the underlying causes and trends of the epidemic out of control. He said that as of April 24, 2021, according to official data, India's cumulative infection rate was 1.16%. It is estimated that it will take decades to reach 70% of the population immunity level. And at least millions more people will die. If in 1918 the big < a target = "_ blank" href=" https://news.163.com/news/search?keyword=%E6%B5%81%E6%84%9F "> today after the influenza < / a >, the government is bound to be held accountable by the people. Therefore, there is great uncertainty about the situation in India < p > according to Dr. Zhang Wenhong, even if India is speeding up now, < a target = "_ blank" href=" https://news.163.com/news/search?keyword=%E7%96%AB%E8%8B%97%E6%8E%A5%E7%A7%8D "> vaccination < / a >, has also < a target ="_ blank" href=" https://news.163.com/news/search?keyword=%E6%9D%A5%E4%B8%8D%E5%8F%8A%E4%BA%86 "> it's too late < / a >, and bigger outbreaks are still to come. Only by adopting extremely strict public health measures, the government's resolute and correct response, and the people's good cooperation, can we tide over the current crisis

novel coronavirus pneumonia is reported in India. As of April 24th, 8 cases were reported at the local time at the time of April 24th. In the past 24 hours, 346786 confirmed cases of new crown pneumonia were confirmed, and 16610481 cases were confirmed. The number of novel coronavirus pneumonia deaths has increased dramatically due to the worsening epidemic. p>

There are double mutations in the epidemic virus strains in India, but it is not the reason that the epidemic is completely out of control. < / strong > < / P > < p > the double mutation strain of b.1.617 in India was detected in October 2020 in India. It is called "double mutation" virus strain because it contains mutations of e484q and l452r on S protein. In India, the proportion of b.1.617 was higher than that of b.1.1.7 and b.1.351. B. 617 has increased significantly since April, accounting for more than 70%. At present, many countries have banned flights to India. As of April 20, 2021, the double mutation of b.1.617 has been detected in more than 20 countries, and no outbreak similar to India has occurred in other countries. According to the epidemic trend indicated by genomic data, the transmissibility of b.1.617 (Indian mutant) is similar to that of b.1.17 (British mutant) and higher than that of b.1.351 (South African mutant)

The mortality rate in India increased rapidly in April.

, from April 16th, the number of deaths per day exceeded 1300, reaching the highest level of the daily death toll of COVID-19 outbreak, and the trend is corresponding to the gradual increase in the proportion of B1.617 in India. The daily death toll rose to nearly 2000 around April 25. The main reason is the medical run. When the oxygen supply can't keep up, many young patients may die. Originally, they only need a mouthful of oxygen to survive. What India needs most at present is oxygen, which is better than any medicine and can reduce the death rate of young patients On April 19, the staff filled the medical oxygen tank in prayagraj, India As of April 24, 2021, according to official data, the cumulative infection rate in India is 1.16%. It is estimated that it will take decades to reach 70% of the population immunity level. And at least millions more people will die. If this is still the case today after the 1918 pandemic, the government will have to be held accountable by the people. Therefore, there is great uncertainty about the situation in India

Whether the epidemic situation in India marks the failure of the vaccine. However, it is still effective for mutants. At present, although the total amount of vaccination in India is second only to that in the United States and China, due to its large population base, the proportion of single dose vaccination is 8.0%, and the proportion of vaccination is low, which can not prevent the spread of the epidemic at present. Although there is a British mutant epidemic in Israel and its effect on the vaccine has declined slightly, today, the vaccination rate plus the protection rate of natural infection or infection in Israel has reached more than 70%, and it is declared that the epidemic is under complete control. It shows once again that the current vaccine is still an important magic weapon to deal with the epidemic situation

India's follow-up epidemic trend < / strong > < / P > < p > today, in March, India's social control relaxed, held various traditional culture festivals for many times, and completely abandoned the measures of social distance. In addition, when the epidemic just broke out, the government was not active enough to deal with the epidemic, so that the epidemic would develop further in April. Even now, it is too late to speed up vaccination, and a bigger outbreak is still to come. Only by adopting extremely strict public health measures, the government's resolute and correct response, and the people's good cooperation, can we tide over the current crisis